Fitting autoregressive models by reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo

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Abstract

In this report I apply a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo technique to the problem of estimating an autoregressive (AR) model to data. In doing this I focus on the proposed poles of the AR model. A review of relevant background material is included. And a full specification of the implementation is provided. At this time the attempt has been unsuccessful and only partial results are reported.

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